Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 11

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Albirex Niigata		Imabari

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.92	Watch
	2.33	3.44	2.89
	2.19	3.63	2.96	Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.3	3.4	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.05)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)	2.9 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albirex Niigata
41%

Draw
27.3%

Imabari
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27.7%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Imabari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Albirex Niigata - Imabari Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
64. Baumann N. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 2. Geria J. 77. Funaki K. 26. Sato M. 30. Okumura J. 7. Onishi Y. 22. Arai T. 17. Shimabuku K. 55. Moraes M. 18. Wakatsuki Y.	1. Tachikawa K. (G) 33. Sasa S. 3. Son T. 29. Maruyama Y. 6. Kajiura Y. 2. Umeki R. 77. Kato J. 25. Sato R. 36. Kubo K. 14. Mori K. 10. Junio E.
Substitutes
5. Fitzgerald M. 34. Fujiwara Y. 15. Hayakawa F. 40. Ishiyama A. 46. Kasai K. 13. Ochiai R. 28. Shimamura T. 8. Shirai E. 23. Yoshimitsu D. (G)	19. Furuyama K. 44. Hayashi M. 8. Komai Y. 9. Kondo T. 20. Rodrigo Souza 24. Takeuchi Y. 38. Umakoshi H. 11. Wesley Tanque 16. Yamamoto T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Okumura J. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Moraes M. ⚽, Geria J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mori K. ↓, Hayashi M. ↑,
61', Junio E. ↓, Furuyama K. ↑,
61', Kato J. ↓, Rodrigo Souza ↑,
69', Sato R. ↓, Komai Y. ↑,
69', Shimabuku K. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
78', Okumura J. ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
78', Wakatsuki Y. ↓, Ochiai R. ↑,
78', Kubo K. ↓, Wesley Tanque ↑,
86', Sasa S. 🟨,
90', Arai T. ↓, Shirai E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Recent performances by Niigata have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Imabari's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Niigata might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Niigata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Albirex Niigata - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.33%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 J3 League
12.04.26	Kochi United - Albirex Niigata	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Albirex Niigata - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 penalties ✺
29.03.26	Osaka - Albirex Niigata	0:1 penalties ✺
20.03.26	Albirex Niigata - Kataller Toyama	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Nara Club - Albirex Niigata	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLW
- FC Imabari
Japan J2 J3 League
12.04.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Imabari	1:0 penalties ✺
05.04.26	Imabari - Ehime	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Kataller Toyama - Imabari	2:1 penalties ✺
22.03.26	Imabari - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Kochi United - Imabari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
01.03.26	Imabari - Albirex Niigata	0:2

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