Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 8

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Hanazono Rugby Stadium (Higashiosaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Osaka		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	2.88	2.68	Watch
	2.61	3.09	2.79
	2.73	3.03	2.68	Watch
	2.4	3	2.7
	2.65	2.98	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3)	3 ↓ (3.45)	2.73 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Osaka
35.5%

Draw
30.8%

Albirex Niigata
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

26.9%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26.1%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Albirex Niigata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Albirex Niigata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Osaka - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sugawara H. (G) 11. Tsutsumi S. 40. Kawakami R. 4. Yamashita R. 13. Mima K. 10. Kubo R. 37. Iesaka Y. 14. Sumida S. 28. Toya T. 9. Shimada T. 7. Kitsui T.	64. Baumann N. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 5. Fitzgerald M. 77. Funaki K. 15. Hayakawa F. 46. Kasai K. 7. Onishi Y. 8. Shirai E. 30. Okumura J. 55. Moraes M. 18. Wakatsuki Y.
Substitutes
26. Dohi K. 15. Fukui K. 19. Masuda S. 5. Minakuchi Y. 41. Nose R. 31. Sekinuma N. (G) 29. Sugawara R. 6. Tachino S. 27. Wada H.	34. Fujiwara Y. 40. Ishiyama A. 33. Matsuoka T. 38. Mori K. 13. Ochiai R. 99. Ono Y. 17. Shimabuku K. 28. Shimamura T. 23. Yoshimitsu D. (G)
Coaches
Yabuta M.	Funakoshi Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Okumura J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
62', Kitsui T. ↓, Masuda S. ↑,
62', Toya T. ↓, Nose R. ↑,
64', Wakatsuki Y. ↓, Ono Y. ↑,
64', Okumura J. ↓, Shimabuku K. ↑,
76', Shimada T. ↓, Sugawara R. ↑,
76', Mima K. ↓, Tachino S. ↑,
83', Kubo R. ↓, Wada H. ↑,
83', Fitzgerald M. ↓, Mori K. ↑,
86', Iesaka Y. 🟨,
88', Hayakawa F. ↓, Matsuoka T. ↑,
88', Kasai K. ↓, Ochiai R. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Moraes M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Nose R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Fujiwara S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Masuda S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Matsuoka T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Tachino S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mori K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Kawakami R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Ochiai R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Yamashita R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Osaka has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Osaka - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.93%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Osaka
Japan J2 J3 League
22.03.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Osaka	1:0 penalties ✺
15.03.26	Ehime - Osaka	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Osaka - Nara Club	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Kataller Toyama - Osaka	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Imabari - Osaka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWTL
- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 J3 League
20.03.26	Albirex Niigata - Kataller Toyama	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Nara Club - Albirex Niigata	0:1 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Albirex Niigata - Kochi United	2:3 penalties ✺
01.03.26	Imabari - Albirex Niigata	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - Albirex Niigata	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWW

Upcoming Matches