Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Albirex Niigata		Oita Trinita

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.3	4
	1.85	3.4	4.1
	1.82	3.35	4.2
	1.87	3.56	4.58
	1.78	3.2	4.2
	1.86	3.6	4.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.9)	3.43 ↑ (3.35)	4.24 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albirex Niigata
50.9%

Draw
27.1%

Oita Trinita
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.5%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

26.7%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	6.2%	12.5%

Albirex Niigata - Oita Trinita Predictions

Users Predictions: Albirex Niigata will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 7).

Niigata is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Oita Trinita is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oita Trinita could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Oita Trinita have a series of guest games.

In this match Niigata is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Niigata to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 League
27.08.22	Grulla Morioka - Albirex Niigata	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Albirex Niigata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
14.08.22	Tochigi - Albirex Niigata	0:2 ✺
06.08.22	Albirex Niigata - Tokushima Vortis	2:2 ✺
30.07.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Albirex Niigata	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWTT
- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 League
28.08.22	Blaublitz Akita - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
23.08.22	Mito HollyHock - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
20.08.22	Oita Trinita - Grulla Morioka	3:0 ✺
14.08.22	Tokushima Vortis - Oita Trinita	2:2 ✺
06.08.22	Machida Zelvia - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
11.06.22	Oita Trinita - Albirex Niigata	1:2
05.08.18	Oita Trinita - Albirex Niigata	4:0
06.05.18	Albirex Niigata - Oita Trinita	1:2
Japan J1 League
10.11.13	Oita Trinita - Albirex Niigata	1:3
18.05.13	Albirex Niigata - Oita Trinita	2:3

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