The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albirex Niigata 37.2%
Draw 30.4%
Tokushima Vortis 32.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.4%
29.8%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
28.9%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
50%
16.7%
Albirex Niigata - Tokushima Vortis Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tokushima will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
46. Baumann N. (G) 30. Sekiguchi M. 2. Geria J. 77. Funaki K. 3. Kato T. 8. Shirai E. 7. Onishi Y. 17. Shimabuku K. 55. Moraes M. 16. Osawa T. 18. Wakatsuki Y.
37. Kitamura K. C. (G) 15. Yamakoshi K. 3. Yamada N. 2. Tanaka H. 22. Yanagisawa K. 17. Inami T. 8. Iwao K. 42. Takagi Y. 11. Lucas Barcelos 7. Kodama S. 16. Watari D.
Substitutes
5. Fitzgerald M. 15. Hayakawa F. 19. Hoshi Y. 9. Iury Castilho 6. Kasai K. 14. Konagaya C. 32. Kuwayama K. 70. Maeda R. 71. Uchiyama S. (G)
31. Hasegawa T. (G) 4. Kaique 14. Kajiya Y. 6. Kanuma N. 19. Miyazaki J. 55. Shigehiro T. 10. Sugimoto T. 9. Thonny Anderson 44. Yamaguchi T.
Coaches
Funakoshi Y.
Yoshimoto T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Iwao K. ⚽, Lucas Barcelos (A),
19', 1 - 1, Moraes M. ⚽, Kato T. (A),
25', 2 - 1, Moraes M. ⚽,
29', Watari D. ↓, Kajiya Y. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tanaka H. ↓, Miyazaki J. ↑,
46', Inami T. ↓, Kanuma N. ↑,
68', Kanuma N. 🟨,
69', Osawa T. ↓, Konagaya C. ↑,
69', Shimabuku K. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
71', Iwao K. ↓, Sugimoto T. ↑,
76', Moraes M. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
89', Kodama S. ↓, Thonny Anderson ↑,
90', Funaki K. ↓, Fitzgerald M. ↑,
90', Wakatsuki Y. ↓, Hayakawa F. ↑,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - J2 League (Promotion: ) and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albirex Niigata won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Tokushima could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Albirex Niigata has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:14 (averaging 1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Albirex Niigata against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 10:7 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).