Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Alcúdia		Mercadal

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.20	3.10
	2.08	3.10	3.10
	2.12	3.23	3.22
	2.11	3.32	3.22	Watch
	2.09	3.15	3.15
	2.07	3.16	3.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.52)	3.19 ↑ (3)	3.17 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcúdia
43.3%

Draw
28.3%

Mercadal
28.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.7%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcúdia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcúdia's performance.

Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mercadal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Alcúdia - Mercadal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11th and 12th).

Alcúdia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Alcúdia holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Alcúdia has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.3:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alcúdia against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Alcudia	7	4	0	3	13:11	2	12
12	Mercadal	8	2	2	4	9:14	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Alcúdia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
26.09.26	Constancia - Alcúdia	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Alcúdia - Santanyí	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Arenal - Alcúdia	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Alcúdia - Peña Deportiva	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Portmany - Alcúdia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWTL
- CE Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.09.26	Inter Ibiza - Mercadal	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Llosetense - Mercadal	6:1 ✺
19.04.26	Formentera - Mercadal	0:0 ✺
15.04.26	Mercadal - Constancia	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Mercadal - Inter Ibiza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
10.01.26	Alcúdia - Mercadal	0:1
25.01.25	Alcúdia - Mercadal	0:1
21.04.24	Alcúdia - Mercadal	1:0
02.12.23	Mercadal - Alcúdia	0:0

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