Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 10

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Alcalá		Intercity

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.4
	2.82	2.98	2.38
	2.9	3	2.62
	3.20	2.82	2.35	Watch
	2.89	2.94	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.2)	2.99 ↑ (2.82)	2.43 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
31.7%

Draw
30.7%

Intercity
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

32.5%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

32.5%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Intercity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Alcalá - Intercity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Izan (Pen),
90+9', 2 - 0, Sanchez N. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Intercity may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.11.25	Socuéllamos - Alcalá	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Alcalá - Tenerife	0:4 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.10.25	Alcalá - Tenerife B	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Las Palmas B - Alcalá	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Alcalá - Quintanar del Rey	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWLW
- CF Intercity
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.11.25	Intercity - Navalcarnero	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Real Madrid C - Intercity	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Intercity - Tenerife B	2:3 ✺
12.10.25	Fuenlabrada - Intercity	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Intercity - Socuéllamos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLTT

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