The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Salamanca 37%
Draw 29.1%
San Sebastian Reyes 33.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.3%
26.8%
43.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
26.9%
43.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salamanca's performance.
San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Sebastian Reyes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salamanca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Sebastian Reyes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Salamanca - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Oscar L. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Oscar L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 2 - 1, Garci (Penalty Awarded),
52', 2 - 2, Rojo P. ⚽,
78', 3 - 2, Caramelo A. ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 6th and 3rd in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).
In recent outings, Salamanca has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
SS Reyes is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
SS Reyes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Salamanca has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Salamanca has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:5.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
San Sebastian Reyes
8
5
1
2
13:8
5
16
7
Salamanca
8
4
1
3
12:10
2
13
Last Results with these Odds
San Sebastian Reyes - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 43.91%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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