Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 18

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	Alcantarilla		Caravaca

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.88	2.81	2.45
	2.91	2.96	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.22)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	2.44 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcantarilla
32.2%

Draw
30.8%

Caravaca
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

28.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcantarilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcantarilla's form might have worsened.

Caravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caravaca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcantarilla than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcantarilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caravaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Alcantarilla will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alcantarilla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcantarilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcantarilla FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
20.01.24	Alcantarilla - Lorca Deportiva	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	UCAM Murcia B - Alcantarilla	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Alcantarilla - Algar	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Plus Ultra - Alcantarilla	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Alcantarilla - Bullense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLWLT
- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.01.24	Cieza - Caravaca	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Caravaca - El Palmar	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Montecasillas - Caravaca	0:2 ✺
15.12.23	Caravaca - Pulpileño	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Racing Murcia - Caravaca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
10.09.23	Caravaca - Alcantarilla	0:1
26.02.23	Caravaca - Alcantarilla	1:0
30.10.22	Alcantarilla - Caravaca	2:0

Alcantarilla - Caravaca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide