Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Alcantarilla		Muleño

	1	X	2
	3	2.95	2.15
	3.21	2.76	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.87)	2.86 ↓ (3.33)	2.23 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcantarilla
28.7%

Draw
31.3%

Muleño
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

27.4%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

26.5%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcantarilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcantarilla's performance.

Muleño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Muleño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcantarilla than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcantarilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muleño than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Muleño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcantarilla - Muleño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
26', 0 - 1, Morales D. M. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Campos F. J. M. ⚽,
38', 0 - 3, Ramirez P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 🟥,
62', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcantarilla FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
26.01.25	El Palmar - Alcantarilla	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Alcantarilla - Plus Ultra	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Alcantarilla - Pulpileño	2:5 ✺
22.12.24	Águilas B - Alcantarilla	5:0 ✺
14.12.24	Alcantarilla - Lorca Deportiva	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWLLL
- Muleño CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
26.01.25	Muleño - Caravaca	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Minerva - Muleño	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Muleño - Unión Molinense	0:0 ✺
22.12.24	El Palmar - Muleño	1:2 ✺
18.12.24	Muleño - Real Murcia B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
18.02.24	Muleño - Alcantarilla	2:1
30.09.23	Alcantarilla - Muleño	0:0
29.01.23	Muleño - Alcantarilla	1:0
02.10.22	Alcantarilla - Muleño	2:0

Alcantarilla - Muleño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide