Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 24

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Alcantarilla		Racing Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.82	3	4.1
	1.83	3.2	4.2
	1.8	2.79	4.83
	1.82	2.82	4.92
	1.77	3.24	4.48
	1.83	3.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.32)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)	4.46 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcantarilla
49.9%

Draw
29.7%

Racing Murcia
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

25.9%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcantarilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcantarilla's performance.

Racing Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Murcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcantarilla than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcantarilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Murcia than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).

Recent matches Alcantarilla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Racing Murcia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alcantarilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcantarilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcantarilla FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
03.03.24	Minera - Alcantarilla	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Alcantarilla - Balsicas Atlético	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Muleño - Alcantarilla	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Alcantarilla - Ciudad de Murcia	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Unión Molinense - Alcantarilla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL
- Racing Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
03.03.24	Racing Murcia - Cieza	0:3 ✺
25.02.24	El Palmar - Racing Murcia	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Racing Murcia - Montecasillas	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Pulpileño - Racing Murcia	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Real Murcia B - Racing Murcia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
22.10.23	Racing Murcia - Alcantarilla	1:5
04.03.23	Alcantarilla - Racing Murcia	0:2
06.11.22	Racing Murcia - Alcantarilla	1:0

Alcantarilla - Racing Murcia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide