Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 23

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Racing Murcia		Cieza

	1	X	2
	5	3.3	1.63
	4.5	3.3	1.75
	4.8	3.18	1.69
	4.97	3.34	1.68
	4.5	3.3	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (3.49)	3.28 ↑ (3.1)	1.7 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Murcia
19.1%

Draw
27.6%

Cieza
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

29.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

29.1%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Murcia's form might have worsened.

Cieza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cieza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Murcia than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Murcia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cieza than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cieza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Racing Murcia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ciudad de Cieza is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ciudad de Cieza is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Racing Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Racing Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
25.02.24	El Palmar - Racing Murcia	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Racing Murcia - Montecasillas	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Pulpileño - Racing Murcia	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Real Murcia B - Racing Murcia	3:1 ✺
28.01.24	Racing Murcia - Minera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLTLL
- CD Cieza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
25.02.24	Cieza - Minera	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Balsicas Atlético - Cieza	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Cieza - Muleño	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Ciudad de Murcia - Cieza	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Cieza - Unión Molinense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
15.10.23	Cieza - Racing Murcia	0:0
12.02.23	Cieza - Racing Murcia	1:1
16.10.22	Racing Murcia - Cieza	0:0

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