Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 33

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Alcione		Arconatese

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.02	4.71
	1.57	4.1	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.75)	4.06 ↑ (3.5)	4.81 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
58.5%

Draw
22.5%

Arconatese
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

25.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

26.6%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcione's performance.

Arconatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcione that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arconatese than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Alcione is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.04.23	Breno - Alcione	1:4 ✺
16.04.23	Alcione - Real Calepina	3:2 ✺
06.04.23	Desenzano Calvina - Alcione	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Alcione - Seregno	2:2 ✺
19.03.23	Varesina - Alcione	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWTTT
- GS Arconatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.04.23	Arconatese - Franciacorta	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Folgore Caratese - Arconatese	1:3 ✺
06.04.23	Arconatese - Lumezzane	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	Caronnese - Arconatese	1:1 ✺
15.03.23	Arconatese - Ponte San Pietro Isola	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
17.12.22	Arconatese - Alcione	0:2

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