Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 29

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Alcione		Seregno

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.5
	1.8	3.25	3.9
	1.62	3.66	4.61
	1.66	3.64	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.48)	3.49 ↓ (3.78)	4.45 ↓ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
53.7%

Draw
26%

Seregno
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

23.6%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

21.9%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcione's form might have worsened.

Seregno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seregno than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seregno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alcione - Seregno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Alcione is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Seregno is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcione will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group B
19.03.23	Varesina - Alcione	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Alcione - Sona	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Casatese - Alcione	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	Franciacorta - Alcione	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Alcione - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWTW
- Seregno Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
19.03.23	Seregno - Casatese	0:2 ✺
12.03.23	Franciacorta - Seregno	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Seregno - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Folgore Caratese - Seregno	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Seregno - Lumezzane	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
20.11.22	Seregno - Alcione	2:4

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