Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 28

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Varesina		Alcione

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.25	1.8
	3.95	3.07	1.88
	4.33	3.4	1.65
	4	3.35	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (3.92)	3.27 ↓ (3.29)	1.8 (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varesina
22.4%

Draw
27.5%

Alcione
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

27.3%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

26.9%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Varesina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcione is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Alcione is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Varesina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.03.23	Lumezzane - Varesina	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	Varesina - Franciacorta	3:5 ✺
26.02.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Varesina	2:3 ✺
19.02.23	Varesina - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Varese - Varesina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWTW
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.03.23	Alcione - Sona	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Casatese - Alcione	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	Franciacorta - Alcione	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Alcione - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Folgore Caratese - Alcione	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
13.11.22	Alcione - Varesina	4:0

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