Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 18

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Alcione		Asti

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.6	5.5
	1.56	3.52	5.29
	1.51	3.72	5.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.83)	3.61 ↑ (3.4)	5.55 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
58.8%

Draw
24.9%

Asti
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.7%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

25.9%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcione's performance.

Asti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Asti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcione that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asti than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Asti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).

Alcione is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Asti is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Alcione is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group A
10.12.23	Borgosesia - Alcione	0:5 ✺
03.12.23	Bra - Alcione	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Alcione - Chieri	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Vogherese - Alcione	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Alcione - Lavagnese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW
- ASD Asti
Italian Serie D - Group A
10.12.23	Asti - Lavagnese	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Gozzano - Asti	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	Asti - Vogherese	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Derthona - Asti	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
15.11.23	Asti - Bra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
11.10.26	Lecco - Alcione	✺

Alcione - Asti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide