Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Asti		Lavagnese

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.92	2.58
	2.73	2.94	2.59	Watch
	2.7	2.7	2.6
	2.69	3.21	2.59
	2.8	2.85	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.59)	2.92 ↓ (2.99)	2.58 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asti
33.6%

Draw
31.1%

Lavagnese
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

29.1%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Lavagnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asti than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavagnese than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Asti - Lavagnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Soplantai V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 1 - 1, D´Antoni R. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asti won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Asti won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Asti won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Asti	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Asti
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.01.26	Vado - Asti	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	Asti - Gozzano	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Asti - Club Milano	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Ligorna - Asti	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Asti - Sestri Levante	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLT
- USD Lavagnese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.01.26	Lavagnese - Cairese	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Biellese - Lavagnese	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	Varese - Lavagnese	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Lavagnese - Chisola	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Lavagnese - Valenzana Mado	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
20.09.25	Lavagnese - Asti	1:1
17.04.25	Lavagnese - Asti	2:1
08.12.24	Asti - Lavagnese	2:2
21.04.24	Lavagnese - Asti	4:2
10.12.23	Asti - Lavagnese	1:0
08.05.22	Asti - Lavagnese	2:0
22.12.21	Lavagnese - Asti	0:1

Asti - Lavagnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide