Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 15

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Antonio De Almeida Correia Foni (Foni)


	Alcochetense		Comércio e Indústria

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.55	5.15
	1.66	3.4	5.13	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.58	3.42	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.62)	3.42 ↓ (3.55)	5.25 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcochetense
56.2%

Draw
26.5%

Comércio e Indústria
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

24.8%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcochetense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Comércio e Indústria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Alcochetense aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comércio e Indústria than the current prediction. (+2%)

Alcochetense - Comércio e Indústria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Alcochetense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Comércio Indústria is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Alcochetense is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcochetense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	GD Alcochetense	4	1	2	1	7:6	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Alcochetense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
10.01.26	Serpa - Alcochetense	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Alcochetense - Lagoa	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Oriental - Alcochetense	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Alcochetense - Alverca B	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Elvas - Alcochetense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWLT
- Comércio e Indústria
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
10.01.26	Comércio e Indústria - Oriental	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Comércio e Indústria - Alverca B	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Elvas - Comércio e Indústria	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Comércio e Indústria - Juventude de Évora	1:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.25	Santa Clara - Comércio e Indústria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
17.08.25	Comércio e Indústria - Alcochetense	0:0

Alcochetense - Comércio e Indústria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide