Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 13

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Antonio De Almeida Correia Foni (Foni)


	Alcochetense		Lagoa

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.15	3.7
	1.84	3.13	3.87
	1.9	3.21	3.91	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.9	3.42	3.83
	1.86	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.01)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)	3.82 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcochetense
48.2%

Draw
28.2%

Lagoa
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

28.6%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcochetense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Lagoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcochetense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Alcochetense - Lagoa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 6).

Alcochetense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lagoa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alcochetense might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Alcochetense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.12.25	Oriental - Alcochetense	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Alcochetense - Alverca B	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Elvas - Alcochetense	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Alcochetense - Juventude de Évora	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Louletano - Alcochetense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLTTW
- Lagoa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.12.25	Lagoa - Portimonense B	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Lagoa - Oriental	6:3 ✺
29.11.25	Atlético da Malveira - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Lagoa - Alverca B	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Lagoa	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWTWW

Alcochetense - Lagoa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide