Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 14

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Serpa		Alcochetense

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.92	2.32
	3	3.01	2.34	Watch
	3	2.8	2.3
	3.02	2.95	2.32
	3	2.9	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.39)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	2.32 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serpa
30.1%

Draw
30.9%

Alcochetense
39%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29.1%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serpa's form might have worsened.

Alcochetense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcochetense's recent form is better than expected.

Serpa - Alcochetense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Alcochetense (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcochetense (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Serpa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Serpa	6	2	3	1	9:7	2	9
9	GD Alcochetense	6	2	2	2	10:9	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
21.12.25	Serpa - Oriental	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Alverca B - Serpa	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Serpa - Elvas	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Juventude de Évora - Serpa	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Serpa - Louletano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWT
- GD Alcochetense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
20.12.25	Alcochetense - Lagoa	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Oriental - Alcochetense	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Alcochetense - Alverca B	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Elvas - Alcochetense	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Alcochetense - Juventude de Évora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
09.08.25	Alcochetense - Serpa	1:0

Serpa - Alcochetense