Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 12

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Capitao Josino da Costa (Lagoa)


	Lagoa		Portimonense B

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.92	3.15
	2.12	2.92	3.42
	2.15	2.96	3.46	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.28	3.37	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.07)	3.01 ↓ (3.3)	3.25 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lagoa
41.9%

Draw
30.1%

Portimonense B
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

27.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.1%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Portimonense B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense B than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Lagoa - Portimonense B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Simoes ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Pio G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 🟥,
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).

Lagoa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Portimonense B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lagoa might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagoa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.12.25	Lagoa - Oriental	6:3 ✺
29.11.25	Atlético da Malveira - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Lagoa - Alverca B	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Lagoa	0:4 ✺
25.10.25	Lagoa - Elvas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTWWT
- Portimonense B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.12.25	Atlético da Malveira - Portimonense B	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Portimonense B - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Moncarapachense - Portimonense B	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Portimonense B - Comércio e Indústria	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Serpa - Portimonense B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTWWL

Lagoa - Portimonense B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide