Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Alcorcón		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.87	3.3
	2.19	2.94	3.75
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.34)	2.91 ↑ (2.85)	3.53 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
42.6%

Draw
31.5%

Alcoyano
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

32.1%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

32.1%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Alcorcón - Alcoyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 5. Rentero J. 19. Pola J. 2. Sebastian J. 16. Capitas M. 12. Nunez J. 23. Navarro D. 15. Manrique C. 7. Aparicio E. 11. Kopotun V. 10. Rodriguez R.	13. Valens J. (G) 17. Lopez S. 18. Atienza P. 4. Farru 3. Rodriguez A. 5. Albisua H. 6. Garcia I. 14. Anton J. 22. Velazquez D. 23. Pastrana V. 19. Losada M.
Substitutes
14. da Costa M. 32. García N. 13. Josele (G) 22. Lachevre M. 28. Lhery Y. 17. Navarro S. 6. Ramos D. 4. Rojas J. 18. Stitch	15. Blanco C. 9. de Palmas R. 25. Ferrer M. (G) 2. Ferriz P. 1. Garcia M. (G) 7. Herrera C. 10. Lara J. A. 24. Qasmi Y. 20. Undabarrena E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Capitas M. 🟨,
16', Garcia I. 🟨,
17', 🟨,
36', Albisua H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Lopez S. ↓, Undabarrena E. ↑,
59', Velazquez D. ↓, de Palmas R. ↑,
62', Aparicio E. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
63', 🟨,
73', Albisua H. ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
74', Navarro D. ↓, Ramos D. ↑,
83', Atienza P. 🟨,
89', Kopotun V. ↓, da Costa M. ↑,
89', Rodriguez R. ↓, Lhery Y. ↑,
90', Losada M. ↓, Qasmi Y. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Alcorcón is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alcoyano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcorcón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Last Results with these Odds

Alcoyano - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 28.84%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.02.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Alcorcón - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Mérida AD - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Alcorcón - Recreativo Huelva	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Atlético Madrid B - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLWL
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.02.25	Alcoyano - Yeclano Deportivo	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Villarreal B - Alcoyano	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	Alcoyano - Betis B	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Real Murcia - Alcoyano	0:1 ✺
24.01.25	Antequera - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.09.24	Alcoyano - Alcorcón	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
07.04.12	Alcorcón - Alcoyano	2:1

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