Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Murcia		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	1.83	2.8	5
	1.78	2.95	4.4
	1.79	2.85	4.8
	1.82	3.05	4.93
	1.8	3.04	4.94	Watch
	1.82	3.13	4.72
	1.79	2.85	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.85)	2.95 ↑ (2.88)	4.8 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
50.3%

Draw
30.8%

Alcoyano
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

31.3%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

29.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Real Murcia - Alcoyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 2. Mier J. 5. Jaso Zunzarren A. 6. Gonzalez A. 18. Vicente D. 27. Toral A. 14. Leon P. 16. Boateng R. 30. Palmberg 7. Buron L. 12. Alcania R.	13. Valens J. (G) 14. Anton J. 4. Farru 18. Atienza P. 3. Rodriguez A. 23. Pastrana V. 8. Molina D. 20. Undabarrena E. 6. Garcia I. 11. Ferni 19. Losada M.
Substitutes
9. Benito P. A. P. 23. Bosilj D. 21. Cadete 28. Forns I. 10. Gomez I. 22. Juan Carlos 29. Matheus Cadorini 13. Piedra I. (G) 17. Rojas C. 19. Soler K. 15. Yriarte J.	5. Albisua H. 15. Blanco C. 9. de Palmas R. 25. Ferrer M. (G) 2. Ferriz P. 1. Garcia M. (G) 7. Herrera C. 17. Lopez S. 24. Qasmi Y. 22. Velazquez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Boateng R. 🟨,
25', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Boateng R. ↓, Yriarte J. ↑,
57', Mier J. ↓, Forns I. ↑,
58', Leon P. ↓, Juan Carlos ↑,
64', 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, Atienza P. ⚽,
72', Palmberg ↓, Bosilj D. ↑,
77', Vicente D. ↓, Rojas C. ↑,
79', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
86', Toral A. 🟥,
87', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Murcia won 4.

Murcia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcoyano is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Murcia is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Murcia won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21:9 (average 1.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Murcia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Club Friendly
29.01.25	Real Murcia - Silkeborg IF	0:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.01.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Real Murcia - Hércules	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.25	Real Murcia - Hajduk Split	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.01.25	Antequera - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWWWL
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.01.25	Antequera - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Alcoyano - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcoyano	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Alcoyano - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Hércules - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.09.24	Alcoyano - Real Murcia	0:3
10.02.24	Alcoyano - Real Murcia	2:3
01.10.23	Real Murcia - Alcoyano	0:0
20.05.23	Alcoyano - Real Murcia	1:2
04.12.22	Real Murcia - Alcoyano	1:0
Club Friendly
18.08.18	Real Murcia - Alcoyano	1:0
05.08.17	Alcoyano - Real Murcia	0:1

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