Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 31

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Alcorcón		Hércules

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	1.95	3.15	3.75
	1.92	3.13	4.34
	1.97	3.23	3.88	Watch
	1.91	3	3.7
	1.98	3.37	3.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.02)	3.18 ↑ (3.03)	3.8 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
47.1%

Draw
28.8%

Hércules
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

29.9%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

32.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Alcorcón - Hércules Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 23. Navarro D. 6. Perez I. 4. Rojas J. 15. Rodriguez S. 22. Blanco R. 5. Rai 10. Ballesteros Y. (C) 14. Vacas L. 9. Carmona M. 7. Aparicio E.	1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (C) 3. Alvarez A. 4. Rentero J. 5. Monsalve N. 21. Retu 16. Fede 23. Calavera J. 37. Puch Herrantz M. 7. Escudero A. 9. Toril A. 11. Ropero U.
Substitutes
18. Aguado T. 35. Arcos D. 11. Kopotun V. 8. Martinez B. 13. Marti O. (G) 3. Nieto S. 19. Pola J. 28. Santana dos Santos E. L. 16. Tounkara N.	14. Ben Hamed N. 13. Blazic A. (G) 29. Carrillo J. 17. De Leon J. 10. Espinosa N. 27. Mamourou J. 8. Mangada C. 26. Sergio G. F. 19. Sol F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Vacas L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Retu ↓, Espinosa N. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Aparicio E. ⚽,
58', 🟨,
64', 3 - 0, Rojas J. ⚽,
66', 4 - 0, Blanco R. ⚽,
72', Aparicio E. ↓, Tounkara N. ↑,
72', Blanco R. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
72', Ballesteros Y. ↓, Aguado T. ↑,
79', Calavera J. ↓, Mangada C. ↑,
79', Vacas L. ↓, Nieto S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón won 2.

Alcorcón has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hércules is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alcorcón might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alcorcón won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Alcorcon	6	3	3	0	13:4	9	12
7	Hercules	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.03.26	Ibiza - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Teruel - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Alcorcón - Algeciras	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Alcorcón - Betis B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTLW
- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.03.26	Hércules - Marbella	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Betis B - Hércules	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Hércules - Real Murcia	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Atlético Madrid B - Hércules	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Hércules - Eldense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.09.25	Hércules - Alcorcón	0:0
27.04.25	Hércules - Alcorcón	2:0
31.08.24	Alcorcón - Hércules	4:1
Spanish LaLiga2
17.05.14	Hércules - Alcorcón	1:2
14.12.13	Alcorcón - Hércules	0:2
02.02.13	Hércules - Alcorcón	3:0
02.09.12	Alcorcón - Hércules	1:0

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