Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 26

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Rico Pérez (Alicante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Hércules		Eldense

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.88
	2.48	2.92	2.88
	2.49	2.84	3.19
	2.52	2.79	3.18	Watch
	2.45	2.63	3
	2.45	2.75	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.49)	2.82 ↓ (2.84)	3.03 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
37.4%

Draw
32.4%

Eldense
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

32.7%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

34.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Hércules - Eldense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Blazic A. (G) 2. Vazquez S. 4. Rentero J. 20. Sotillos A. 24. Jimenez J. 14. Ben Hamed N. 6. Colomina R. 37. Puch Herrantz M. 7. Escudero A. 11. Ropero U. 10. Espinosa N. (C)	1. Vila R. (G) 19. Ibarrondo A. 2. Serradell A. G. 3. Smand F. 17. Clemente J. 8. Bustillo M. 12. Molina M. 18. Macho G. 10. Fidel 9. Dioni 7. Quintana Nacho
Substitutes
3. Alvarez A. 22. Aranda A. 17. De Leon J. 28. Galvan J. 27. Mamourou J. 8. Mangada C. 30. Mompean M. (G) 21. Retu 26. Sergio G. F. 19. Sol F.	24. Alba H. 11. Bellari H. 15. Billups B. 6. Calvo B. 4. Dumic D. 5. Gaixas A. 20. Ibanez R. 22. Nunez R. 21. Ruiz D. 13. Valencia P. (G) 14. Vega O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Ropero U. ⚽,
11', Fidel 🟨,
38', Colomina R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bustillo M. ↓, Ibanez R. ↑,
57', Ben Hamed N. 🟨,
63', Ropero U. ↓, Sol F. ↑,
63', Espinosa N. ↓, Galvan J. ↑,
66', Jimenez J. 🟨,
74', Dioni ↓, Calvo B. ↑,
74', Ibarrondo A. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
75', Escudero A. ↓, De Leon J. ↑,
80', Puch Herrantz M. ↓, Sergio G. F. ↑,
80', Colomina R. ↓, Mangada C. ↑,
83', Galvan J. 🟨,
90', Fidel ↓, Bellari H. ↑,
90', Macho G. ↓, Alba H. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 1, Mangada C. (Own goal),
90+9', 2 - 1, Sotillos A. ⚽,
90+10', Sotillos A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 0.

Recent performances by Hércules have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Eldense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hércules may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hércules won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Hercules	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10

Last Results with these Odds

Hércules - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.28%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.02.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Hércules	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Hércules - Antequera	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	CE Europa - Hércules	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Hércules - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Tarazona - Hércules	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLTWT
- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.02.26	Eldense - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Eldense - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Algeciras - Eldense	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Eldense - Teruel	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Eldense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.11.25	Eldense - Hércules	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.03.22	Hércules - Eldense	0:1
07.11.21	Eldense - Hércules	2:2
Club Friendly
28.08.21	Hércules - Eldense	1:2
23.09.20	Eldense - Hércules	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.02.17	Eldense - Hércules	0:2
25.09.16	Hércules - Eldense	5:0

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