Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 22

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Referee: Sesma Espinosa M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Alcorcón		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.8	Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.7
	2.7	3	2.75	Watch
	2.81	3.03	2.96
	2.81	3	2.96
	2.45	3	2.8
	2.72	2.98	2.79	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.53)	2.97 ↓ (3.08)	2.81 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
34.9%

Draw
31.7%

Mirandés
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

30.4%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

30.2%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	83.3%	11.1%

Alcorcón - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Mirandés will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 66.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Anacker L. (G) 20. Lopez I. 2. Castro J. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 19. Quintilla X. 17. Garcia V. 18. Eteki Y. 16. Perez J. 15. Lara J. 22. Artola J. 10. Juanma Bravo	1. Juan Ramirez R. (C) 32. Sanchez R. 4. Sergio Barcia 27. Ramon P. 24. Gomez J. 10. Reina A. 15. Tomeo P. 11. Chaira I. 9. Martin C. 7. Martinez G. 18. Javier Marton
Substitutes
26. Addai E. 6. Babin J. 7. Bustos A. 29. Callis E. 32. Garcia I. 14. Lopez A. 3. Morillas D. 5. Mosquera P. 21. Obieta K. 35. Romero F. 1. Ruiz J. (G)	26. Alcedo J. 3. Barbu 14. Durdov I. 29. Godoy A. 17. Iosifov N. 19. Lachuer M. 13. Lopez L. (G) 21. Moreno D. 8. Sanz A. 20. Verdasca D. 2. Vicente D.
Coaches
Nafti M.	Lisci A.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Alcorcón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Club Friendly
05.01.24	Alcorcón - Leganés	0:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.23	Amorebieta - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Alcorcón - Eibar	1:0 ✺
11.12.23	Tenerife - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Alcorcón - Cartagena	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWWLL
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
19.12.23	Elche - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Mirandés - Albacete Balompié	2:0 ✺
09.12.23	Burgos - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Lugo - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
03.12.23	Mirandés - Racing Santander	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.08.23	Mirandés - Alcorcón	4:0
23.01.22	Alcorcón - Mirandés	0:0
11.09.21	Mirandés - Alcorcón	1:3
08.03.21	Alcorcón - Mirandés	4:0
13.09.20	Mirandés - Alcorcón	0:0
08.03.20	Alcorcón - Mirandés	1:2
20.09.19	Mirandés - Alcorcón	2:2

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