Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 6

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Muniz Munoz C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
World	DirecTV Sports


	Elche		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	4.5	Watch
	1.93	2.95	4.1
	1.95	3.1	4.2	Watch
	2.04	3.14	4.68
	2.07	3.13	4.04	Watch
	1.98	3.2	4.27	Watch
	1.95	3.05	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.71)	3.08 ↓ (3.58)	4.31 ↓ (5.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
47.6%

Draw
30.6%

Mirandés
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

26.8%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

25.9%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elche's form might have worsened.

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	25%	16.7%

Elche - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Mirandés will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dituro M. (G) 4. Diaby B. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. 17. Josan 10. Mercau N. 31. Hernandez G. 21. Castro N. 12. Salinas J. 18. Kaba S. 9. Alvarez A.	13. Fernandez R. (G) 22. Gutierrez J. 5. Tachi 15. Tomeo P. 2. Rincon Lumbreras H. 19. Lachuer M. 6. Gorrotxategi J. 10. Reina A. 3. Alonso J. 17. Izeta 9. Panichelli J.
Substitutes
26. Barzic M. 19. El Ghezouani M. 14. Febas A. 8. Guti R. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 15. Nunez A. 36. Nunez R. 7. Plano O. 11. Rashani E. 20. Salvador C. 1. San Roman M. (G)	11. Calvo A. 28. Dadie Izagirre A. 4. Egiluz U. 33. Gonzalez V. P. 31. Gorrin A. (G) 8. Homenchenko S. 1. Lopez L. (G) 20. Martin A. 27. Roca J.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Lisci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Lachuer M. 🟨,
24', Castro N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
53', Izeta ↓, Martin A. ↑,
62', Hernandez G. ↓, Salvador C. ↑,
62', Kaba S. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
66', Salvador C. 🟨,
67', Lachuer M. ↓, Homenchenko S. ↑,
70', Alvarez A. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, El Ghezouani M. ⚽, Diaby B. (A),
78', Josan ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
78', Castro N. ↓, Nunez R. ↑,
80', Reina A. ↓, Roca J. ↑,
80', Tomeo P. ↓, Calvo A. ↑,
80', Tachi ↓, Egiluz U. ↑,
90+2', Homenchenko S. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elche won 1.

Elche is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mirandés is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Elche is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Elche won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
15.09.24	Elche - Granada	2:2 ✺
08.09.24	Zaragoza - Elche	3:0 ✺
02.09.24	Elche - Córdoba	3:1 ✺
25.08.24	Albacete Balompié - Elche	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Elche - Huesca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLWLL
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
15.09.24	Mirandés - Albacete Balompié	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Ferrol - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Mirandés - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Málaga - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
16.08.24	Mirandés - Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.05.24	Mirandés - Elche	1:1
19.12.23	Elche - Mirandés	0:0
07.07.20	Mirandés - Elche	1:0
03.11.19	Elche - Mirandés	4:2
13.05.17	Elche - Mirandés	0:1
03.12.16	Mirandés - Elche	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.09.16	Mirandés - Elche	2:3 penalties

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