Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Alcorcón		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	1.83	2.88	4.5
	1.85	3.05	4.45
	2.11	2.83	3.98	Watch
	1.91	3	4.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.11)	2.94 ↑ (2.83)	4.41 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
47.8%

Draw
31.3%

Tarazona
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

32.8%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

32%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+3%)

Alcorcón - Tarazona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcorcón (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 4. Rojas J. 6. Perez I. 3. Nieto S. 21. Llorente R. 18. Aguado T. 10. Ballesteros Y. 14. Vacas L. 11. Kopotun V. 7. Aparicio E.	1. Josele (G) 14. Borge A. 5. Traore B. 4. Trilles M. 3. Martinez Chechu 21. Nieto C. 23. Rodriguez D. 6. Carrasco O. 8. Ramon A. 19. Armero S. 10. Aguero
Substitutes
17. Lanchi 8. Martinez B. 13. Marti O. (G) 23. Navarro D. 24. Perez L. 15. Rodriguez S.	15. Alonso I. 13. Amigo A. (G) 9. Cubillas D. 27. Fita A. 11. Gomez J. 2. Lopez A. 20. Martinez J. 7. Soto D. 22. Vaquero

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Armero S. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Vacas L. ⚽,
39', Nieto C. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
42', Perez I. 🟨,
45+2', Aguero 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Rodriguez D. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
57', Martinez Chechu ↓, Soto D. ↑,
62', Ramon A. 🟨,
66', Aparicio E. 🟨,
67', Rojas J. 🟨,
71', Trilles M. ↓, Cubillas D. ↑,
71', Ramon A. ↓, Alonso I. ↑,
71', Vacas L. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
71', Llorente R. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
76', Alonso I. 🟨,
78', Ayesa G. 🟨,
78', Aparicio E. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).

Alcorcón is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Tarazona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tarazona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alcorcón is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Alcorcón - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.94%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.11.25	Alcorcón - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Marbella - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Alcorcón - Sevilla B	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Algeciras - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Alcorcón - Sabadell	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTLL
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.11.25	Tarazona - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Sabadell - Tarazona	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Tarazona - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Ebro - Tarazona	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.10.25	Tarazona - Betis B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTTLW

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