Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV


	Ebro		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.1	Watch
				Watch
	3.25	2.98	2.22
	6.40	1.31	6.52	Watch
	3.41	3.21	2.15	Watch
	3.7	3.4	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↓ (4.5)	2.82 ↓ (3.4)	2.99 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebro
26.5%

Draw
37.8%

Tarazona
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

26.7%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

26.2%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ebro's performance.

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tarazona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ebro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tarazona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Ebro - Tarazona Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ebro will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tarazona will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ebro (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tarazona (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lite M. (G) 17. Attipoe E. 11. Charlez V. 20. Escolar Sergio 5. Espierrez H. 6. Munoz A. 3. Nacho Uche 10. Paki 4. Perez I. 7. Prat M. 12. Reques J.	13. Amigo A. (G) 14. Borge A. 6. Carrasco O. 9. Cubillas D. 27. Fita A. 17. Jimenez A. 2. Lopez A. 3. Martinez Chechu 8. Ramon A. 23. Rodriguez D. 4. Trilles M.
Substitutes
22. Arechavaleta J. 28. Conte 15. Hernandez J. 9. Kevin 18. Lobede U. 13. Mujica A. (G) 21. Novials A. 26. Raul 8. Romero B. 19. Soeiro K. 27. Vadillo	10. Aguero 15. Alonso I. 19. Armero S. 11. Gomez J. 1. Josele (G) 21. Nieto C. 7. Soto D. 5. Traore B. 22. Vaquero

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Charlez V. 🟨,
21', Carrasco O. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Cubillas D. ⚽, Martinez Chechu (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Prat M. ↓, Novials A. ↑,
57', Fita A. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Novials A. ⚽,
60', Fita A. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
72', Cubillas D. 🟨,
72', Jimenez A. 🟨,
72', Cubillas D. ↓, Aguero ↑,
74', Carrasco O. ↓, Alonso I. ↑,
80', Borge A. 🟨,
83', Ramon A. ↓, Vaquero ↑,
83', Jimenez A. ↓, Armero S. ↑,
87', Vaquero 🟨,
88', Reques J. 🟨,
90', Charlez V. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
90', Reques J. ↓, Lobede U. ↑,
90+2', Nacho Uche 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
96', Nacho Uche ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
102', Paki 🟨,
105', Rodriguez D. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
105', Paki ↓, Sanchez Jaen K. ↑,
115', Attipoe E. 🟥,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Soto D. (Pen),
1, Romero B. (Pen),
2, Aguero (Pen),
2, Sanchez Jaen K. (Pen),
3, Armero S. (Pen),
3, Perez I. (Pen),
4, Gomez J. (Pen),
4, Lobede U. (Pen),
5, Trilles M. (Pen),
5, Hernandez J. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ebro won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ebro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tarazona will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ebro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ebro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.10.25	Sestao - Ebro	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Ebro - Mutilvera	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Ebro - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Beasain - Ebro	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Ebro - Ejea	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTTW
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.10.25	Tarazona - Betis B	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Tarazona - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Cartagena - Tarazona	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Sevilla B - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
20.02.22	Tarazona - Ebro	2:0
03.10.21	Ebro - Tarazona	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.03.21	Ebro - Tarazona	0:1
06.12.20	Tarazona - Ebro	2:0
Club Friendly
26.09.20	Ebro - Tarazona	0:0
02.08.19	Ebro - Tarazona	1:2

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