Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 28

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Alcorcón B		Carabanchel

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.88	2.48
	2.64	3.08	2.54
	2.78	3.05	2.54	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.5
	2.62	3.02	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.63)	2.99 ↑ (2.99)	2.51 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón B
33.7%

Draw
30.3%

Carabanchel
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

30.2%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

30.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Alcorcón B - Carabanchel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón B won 4.

Alcorcón B has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Carabanchel is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón B won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Alcorcón B won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcorcón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.03.26	Móstoles URJC - Alcorcón B	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Alcorcón B - San Sebastian Reyes B	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Racing Madrid - Alcorcón B	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Alcorcón B - Las Rozas	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Unión Adarve - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTWTL
- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.03.26	Carabanchel - México	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Tres Cantos - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Galapagar - Carabanchel	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Carabanchel - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.11.25	Carabanchel - Alcorcón B	2:3
30.03.25	Carabanchel - Alcorcón B	2:1
16.11.24	Alcorcón B - Carabanchel	1:0
27.03.22	Carabanchel - Alcorcón B	0:3
28.11.21	Alcorcón B - Carabanchel	2:0
21.03.21	Alcorcón B - Carabanchel	4:2
20.12.20	Carabanchel - Alcorcón B	1:1

Alcorcón B - Carabanchel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide