Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Alcorcón B		México

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.98	2.58
	2.65	3.04	2.6
	2.99	2.43	2.99	Watch
	2.63	2.8	2.63
	2.59	2.99	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.62)	2.85 ↓ (2.94)	2.67 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón B
33.8%

Draw
32%

México
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

30.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

30%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for México aligns with the current prediction.

Alcorcón B - México Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Alcorcón B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Mexico FC	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Alcorcón B - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.47%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcorcón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.04.26	Tres Cantos - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Alcorcón B - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Móstoles URJC - Alcorcón B	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Alcorcón B - San Sebastian Reyes B	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Racing Madrid - Alcorcón B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LTWTW
- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.04.26	Galapagar - México	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	México - Tres Cantos	0:5 ✺
22.03.26	Carabanchel - México	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	México - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - México	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.12.25	México - Alcorcón B	2:0
15.02.25	México - Alcorcón B	3:2
05.10.24	Alcorcón B - México	1:1

Alcorcón B - México: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide