Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 26

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Sesma Espinosa M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Racing Santander		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.2	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.23	3.2	3.5
	2.23	3.22	3.71
	2.19	3.09	3.59	Watch
	2.21	3.15	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.55)	3.15 ↑ (3.03)	3.46 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
42.8%

Draw
29.9%

Espanyol
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

31%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

30.4%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Santander's performance.

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Santander that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Espanyol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	53.3%	26.7%

Racing Santander - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Espanyol will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ezkieta J. (G) 23. Fernandez D. 18. Manu 5. Sanchez G. 40. Garcia M. 21. Aldasoro A. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 8. Mboula J. 17. Peque 10. Vicente I. 9. Arana J.	13. Pacheco F. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 3. Gomez S. 4. Ruiz V. 38. Forns I. 17. Jofre 10. Lozano P. 18. Aguado A. 11. Milla P. 22. Braithwaite M. 34. Sadik O.
Substitutes
12. Baturina R. 3. Garcia S. 22. Gutierrez J. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 20. Junior L. 11. Martin A. 16. Morante I. 4. Moreno P. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 14. Zenitagoia E.	9. Balde K. 8. Bare K. 6. Cabrera L. 33. Fortuno A. (G) 1. Garcia J. (G) 2. Gil O. 15. Gragera J. 16. Lazo J. 7. Puado J. 24. Sanchez R. 19. Sanchez S.
Coaches
Lopez J.	Ramis L. M.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Racing won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
04.02.24	Amorebieta - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
29.01.24	Valladolid - Racing Santander	3:1 ✺
21.01.24	Racing Santander - Cartagena	0:2 ✺
12.01.24	Eibar - Racing Santander	2:0 ✺
19.12.23	Racing Santander - FC Andorra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLW
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
04.02.24	Espanyol - Levante	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Eldense - Espanyol	3:2 ✺
20.01.24	Espanyol - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
13.01.24	Ferrol - Espanyol	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.24	Espanyol - Getafe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.08.23	Espanyol - Racing Santander	2:0
Spanish LaLiga
19.03.12	Espanyol - Racing Santander	3:1

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