Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 28

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Eleven Sports 4
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Eibar		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.1	4
	2	3.25	3.75	Watch
	1.98	3.25	4.3
	1.98	3.27	4.59
	1.92	3.44	4.17	Watch
	1.99	3.2	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.09)	3.24 ↓ (3.35)	4.14 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
48%

Draw
29.1%

Espanyol
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

27%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	17.6%	35.3%

Eibar - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Espanyol will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zidane L. (G) 15. Tejero A. 5. Berrocal J. 23. Arbilla A. 21. Rios Reina J. 24. Nolaskoain P. 8. Pereira M. 10. Aketxe A. 30. Soriano M. 19. Stoichkov 18. Jon B.	13. Pacheco F. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 3. Gomez S. 4. Ruiz V. 6. Cabrera L. 7. Puado J. 8. Bare K. 18. Aguado A. 17. Jofre 22. Braithwaite M. 11. Milla P.
Substitutes
6. Alvarez S. 17. Corpas J. 27. de la Fuente K. 2. Gutierrez C. 11. Leon S. 29. Madariaga A. 9. Qasmi Y. 7. Quique 22. Simic S. 3. Venancio F. 14. Vencedor U. 13. Yoel (G)	9. Balde K. 38. Forns I. 33. Fortuno A. (G) 1. Garcia J. (G) 2. Gil O. 15. Gragera J. 16. Lazo J. 27. Martinez R. 14. Olivan B. 24. Sanchez R. 19. Sanchez S. 39. Valles G.
Coaches
Etxeberria J.	Ramis L. M.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eibar won 2.

Eibar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Espanyol is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Eibar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Eibar won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
18.02.24	Elche - Eibar	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Eibar - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Ferrol - Eibar	1:1 ✺
26.01.24	Eibar - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Huesca - Eibar	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWTWW
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
17.02.24	Espanyol - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
10.02.24	Racing Santander - Espanyol	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Espanyol - Levante	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Eldense - Espanyol	3:2 ✺
20.01.24	Espanyol - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.11.23	Espanyol - Eibar	2:2
Spanish LaLiga
12.07.20	Espanyol - Eibar	0:2
15.09.19	Eibar - Espanyol	1:2
21.01.19	Eibar - Espanyol	3:0
25.09.18	Espanyol - Eibar	1:0
18.04.18	Espanyol - Eibar	0:1
03.12.17	Eibar - Espanyol	3:1

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