Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Alcorcón		Intercity

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.25
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.19	3.15	3.25
	2.21	3.19	3.34
	2.18	3.13	3.24	Watch
	2.16	3.2	3.25
	2.19	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.21)	3.13 ↑ (2.95)	3.25 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
42.6%

Draw
29.3%

Intercity
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

31%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

30.8%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Intercity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Alcorcón - Intercity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 19. Pola J. 4. Rojas J. 30. Rodriguez S. 23. Navarro D. 8. Ballesteros Y. 17. Navarro S. 16. Capitas M. 7. Aparicio E. 11. Kopotun V.	13. Casado S. (G) 2. San Emeterio B. 4. Hernandez A. 16. Gonzalez Nacho (C) 20. Codina M. 18. Burlamaqui A. 6. Gracia J. 21. Sito 22. Montero Sergio 10. Martinez B. 14. Modeste A.
Substitutes
14. da Costa M. 13. Josele (G) 22. Lachevre M. 28. Lhery Y. 15. Manrique C. 32. Nico 12. Nunez J. 6. Ramos D. 10. Rodriguez R. 18. Stitch	3. Diallo M. 1. Freixanet P. (G) 23. Gonzalez N. 7. Jozefzoon F. 5. Llonch P. 19. Mestanza A. 8. Nsue E. 11. Stor L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Kopotun V. ⚽,
13', Capitas M. 🟨,
30', 🟨,
39', San Emeterio B. 🟨,
41', 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Aparicio E. ⚽,
44', 3 - 0, Capitas M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sito ↓, Jozefzoon F. ↑,
46', Gracia J. ↓, Nsue E. ↑,
46', Montero Sergio ↓, Llonch P. ↑,
64', Gracia J. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
72', Ballesteros Y. 🟨,
74', Gonzalez Nacho ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
78', 🟨,
79', Capitas M. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
79', Navarro D. ↓, Ramos D. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Intercity could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alcorcón will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Last Results with these Odds

Intercity - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 27.57%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.03.25	Alcorcón - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Alcorcón - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Mérida AD - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Alcorcón - Recreativo Huelva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLTLW
- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.03.25	Intercity - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Fuenlabrada - Intercity	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Intercity - Mérida AD	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Sevilla B - Intercity	1:0 ✺
31.01.25	Intercity - Marbella	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.12.24	Intercity - Alcorcón	0:2

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