Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 26

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Camp Municipal Antonio Solana (Alicante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Intercity		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.71	3.2	2.66
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (3.27)	3.15 ↑ (2.9)	2.56 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Intercity
34.9%

Draw
29.1%

Real Madrid Castilla
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

31.4%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

30.4%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Intercity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Intercity's performance.

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Intercity that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid Castilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Intercity - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Casado S. (G) 2. San Emeterio B. 16. Gonzalez Nacho 4. Hernandez A. 20. Codina M. 21. Sito 18. Burlamaqui A. 6. Gracia J. 10. Martinez B. 8. Nsue E. (C) 14. Modeste A.	25. de Luis M. (G) 29. Rivas M. 14. Ramon J. 4. Pujol E. 22. Jimenez D. 11. Alonso B. 6. Andres C. 8. Moran M. A. 23. Yusi 9. Munoz V. 7. Garcia G.
Substitutes
17. Caballo D. 3. Diallo M. 1. Freixanet P. (G) 23. Gonzalez N. 7. Jozefzoon F. 5. Llonch P. 9. Locadia J. 19. Mestanza A. 22. Montero Sergio 15. Perez A. 11. Stor L.	16. Antonio David 20. Campos A. 21. De Leon J. 2. Lorenzo 1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 17. Ruiz D. 37. Valdepenas V. 36. Yanez D. 19. Zuniga L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Modeste A. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Jimenez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Jimenez D. 🟨,
60', Nsue E. ↓, Montero Sergio ↑,
65', Ramon J. 🟨,
66', Alonso B. ↓, Yanez D. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Yanez D. ⚽,
79', Sito ↓, Mestanza A. ↑,
79', San Emeterio B. ↓, Stor L. ↑,
83', Andres C. ↓, Lorenzo ↑,
83', Jimenez D. ↓, Antonio David ↑,
84', Codina M. 🟨,
86', Martinez B. 🟨,
90', Gonzalez Nacho 🟨,
90', Munoz V. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Gonzalez Nacho ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Recent matches Intercity is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Madrid Castilla is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Intercity could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Real Madrid Castilla will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Intercity won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:9 (average 1:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Intercity won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.02.25	Fuenlabrada - Intercity	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Intercity - Mérida AD	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Sevilla B - Intercity	1:0 ✺
31.01.25	Intercity - Marbella	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Intercity - Betis B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLTT
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.02.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Antequera - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Algeciras - Real Madrid Castilla	1:4 ✺
26.01.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Villarreal B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.11.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Intercity	5:0
18.05.24	Intercity - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1
16.12.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Intercity	3:3

Upcoming Matches