Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, Real Madrid TV


	Real Madrid Castilla		Yeclano Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2	2.88	3.6
	2.05	2.9	3.4
	2.09	3	3.75
	2.09	2.92	3.88
	2.04	2.94	3.88	Watch
	2.05	3.04	3.76
	2.09	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.24)	2.95 ↑ (2.83)	3.72 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
44.4%

Draw
31%

Yeclano Deportivo
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

32.3%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

30.6%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Yeclano Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeclano Deportivo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Yeclano Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fran (G) 2. Lorenzo 5. Asencio R. 28. Ribes K. 22. Jimenez D. 26. De Llanos H. 6. Andres C. 23. Yusi 27. Fortuny P. 19. Zuniga L. 7. Garcia G.	1. Martinez I. (G) 18. Olmedo V. 4. Gabri 6. Mayorga A. 3. Morros 21. Satoca J. 5. Relu 8. Juanje 19. Errahaly M. 9. Naranjo J. 22. Sutherland T.
Substitutes
8. Angel M. 16. Antonio David 32. Carvajal A. 35. Ortega J. 33. Perea C. 1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 29. Rivas M. 17. Ruiz D.	11. de Pedro D. 13. Marti B. (G) 28. Meca A. 10. Perez P. 14. Rodriguez A. 2. Sanchez A. 23. Serpeta

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Yusi (Pen),
23', 1 - 1, Olmedo V. ⚽,
25', 🟨,
36', Naranjo J. 🟨,
44', Zuniga L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Relu ↓, de Pedro D. ↑,
53', De Llanos H. ↓, Angel M. ↑,
55', Juanje 🟨,
60', Lorenzo 🟨,
65', Garcia G. 🟨,
68', 🟨,
68', Sutherland T. ↓, Serpeta ↑,
82', Martinez I. 🟨,
83', Mayorga A. 🟨,
84', Naranjo J. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Real Madrid Castilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Real Madrid Castilla will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.10.24	Sevilla B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Hércules	1:0 ✺
20.09.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Betis B	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Villarreal B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTTT
- Yeclano Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.10.24	Intercity - Yeclano Deportivo	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Atlético Madrid B - Yeclano Deportivo	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Fuenlabrada	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTLL

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