Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jesus Navas (Sevilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Sevilla B		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.37	2.95	2.75
	2.46	3.05	2.85
	2.5	3.1	3
	2.43	2.98	2.93	Watch
	2.46	3	2.92
	2.46	3.05	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.08)	3.02 ↓ (3.15)	2.87 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla B
37.6%

Draw
30.4%

Real Madrid Castilla
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sevilla B's form might have worsened.

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sevilla B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid Castilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sevilla B - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Flores A. (G) 17. Benavides D. 4. Martinez R. 24. Castrin 11. Oso 6. Rivera P. 5. Hormigo D. 30. Sow I. 8. Collado A. 16. Bueno M. 18. Antonetti L.	1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 28. Ribes Q. 5. Asencio R. 3. Cuenca D. 22. Jimenez D. 26. De Llanos H. 6. Andres C. 23. Yusi 9. Munoz V. 19. Zuniga L. 7. Garcia G.
Substitutes
1. Arbol M. (G) 21. Cortez J. 23. Dominguez I. 7. Fernandez A. 28. Flores A. 27. Guillen N. 14. Jalade R. 19. Martinez S. 3. Mascaro L. 15. Munoz I. 32. Pascual A. 20. Sierra M.	21. De Leon J. 25. de Luis M. (G) 2. Lorenzo 35. Ortega J. 33. Perea C. 29. Rivas M. 17. Ruiz D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Ribes K. ↓, Perea C. ↑,
56', Sow I. ↓, Dominguez I. ↑,
64', De Llanos H. 🟨,
65', Martinez R. 🟨,
68', Antonetti L. 🟨,
72', Oso 🟨,
73', Zuniga L. ↓, De Leon J. ↑,
73', De Llanos H. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
73', Hormigo D. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
73', Antonetti L. ↓, Pascual A. ↑,
82', Castrin 🟨,
85', 🟨,
85', Rivera P. ↓, Sierra M. ↑,
85', Oso ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Pascual A. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Real Madrid Castilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sevilla B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.09.24	Alcorcón - Sevilla B	2:2 ✺
22.09.24	Sevilla B - Antequera	2:2 ✺
13.09.24	Recreativo Huelva - Sevilla B	2:2 ✺
08.09.24	Sevilla B - Atlético Sanluqueño	5:2 ✺
01.09.24	Algeciras - Sevilla B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TTTWT
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.09.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Hércules	1:0 ✺
20.09.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Betis B	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Villarreal B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.04.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Sevilla B	2:1
11.12.21	Sevilla B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1

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