Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 11

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Monescillo D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	Arena Premium 3, Moja TV
Croatia	19:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
France	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Indonesia	00:00	beIN Connect
Israel	20:00	ONE Sport
Mexico	11:00	Sky Sport
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	19:00	MaxTV GO
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Sportbox.ru
Slovenia	19:00	Arena Sport 3
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	19:00	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	19:00	TV4 Play
Ukraine	20:00	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United Kingdom	18:00	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Venezuela	13:00	Inter
International	17:00	DirecTV Sports


	Eldense		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.7	Watch
	2.55	2.87	2.8
	2.7	3	2.75	Watch
	2.81	3	2.96
	2.74	2.96	2.88	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.62
	2.64	3.18	2.77	Watch
	2.7	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 (2.69)	3.01 ↓ (3.04)	2.78 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
35%

Draw
31.2%

Zaragoza
33.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

31.5%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Eldense - Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zaragoza: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mackay I. (G) 23. Mateu M. 17. Garcia V. 14. Monsalve N. 3. Martos I. 16. Youness 20. Chapela I. 9. Quintana Nacho 8. Ortuno S. (C) 19. Jorquera Romero J. 11. Ortuno J.	13. Poussin G. (G) 19. Calero I. 24. Lopez L. 12. Kosa S. 5. Clemente E. 23. Aketxe A. 8. Aguado M. 6. Bare K. 14. Francho 9. Azon I. 11. Bazdar S.
Substitutes
21. Bernal A. 7. Bouzaidi S. 30. Fajardo J. 15. Gamez F. 12. Geraldes F. 29. Godoy A. 22. Grigore R. 1. Martin D. (G) 10. Montes C. 27. Ogbuehi S. 18. Ropero U. 24. Timor D.	1. Alvarez C. (G) 20. Ares A. 10. Bermejo 25. Femenias J. (G) 3. Jair 33. Liso A. 2. Luna M. 22. Mari A. 21. Moya T. 17. Nieto C. 29. Sans P. 15. Vital B.
Coaches
Ponz D.	Fernandez V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Ortuno J. ⚽, Garcia V. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Bazdar S. ⚽, Bare K. (A),
45+3', Garcia V. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 2, Azon I. ⚽, Aketxe A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Quintana Nacho ↓, Bernal A. ↑,
61', Ortuno S. ↓, Geraldes F. ↑,
66', Bare K. 🟨,
67', Azon I. ↓, Mari A. ↑,
68', Bazdar S. ↓, Liso A. ↑,
68', Francho ↓, Luna M. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Youness ⚽, Mateu M. (A),
75', Calero I. 🟨,
79', Ortuno J. ↓, Ropero U. ↑,
79', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Bouzaidi S. ↑,
80', Aketxe A. ↓, Bermejo ↑,
80', 2 - 3, Liso A. ⚽, Luna M. (A),
86', Aguado M. ↓, Moya T. ↑,
88', Martos I. ↓, Ogbuehi S. ↑,
90', Kosa S. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Eldense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Eldense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Eldense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
19.10.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Eldense	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Eibar - Eldense	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Eldense - Castellón	2:3 ✺
28.09.24	Cádiz - Eldense	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Eldense - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TLLWT
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
20.10.24	Zaragoza - Almería	1:2 ✺
11.10.24	Tenerife - Zaragoza	2:3 ✺
05.10.24	Zaragoza - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
28.09.24	Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Zaragoza - Levante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
15.01.24	Eldense - Zaragoza	1:1
03.09.23	Zaragoza - Eldense	2:0

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