Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Alcoyano		Atlético Sanluqueño

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.1	4.75
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.79	3.25	4.6
	1.82	3.31	4.9
	1.74	3.27	4.84	Watch
	1.74	3.38	4.72
	1.79	3.25	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.03)	3.25 ↑ (3.05)	4.66 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
52%

Draw
28.3%

Atlético Sanluqueño
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

30%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

29.3%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcoyano's performance.

Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Sanluqueño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcoyano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Alcoyano - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Valens J. (G) 3. Rodriguez A. 2. Ferriz P. 18. Atienza P. 14. Anton J. 8. Molina D. 5. Albisua H. 7. Herrera C. 23. Pastrana V. 11. Ferni 19. Losada M.	1. Perez S. (G) 2. Garcia A. 17. Pavon A. 24. Riera R. 3. Martinez A. 7. Colau 14. El Arbaoui Y. 6. Calderon M. 8. Carbonell P. 23. Jose Enrique 19. Valverde V.
Substitutes
4. Farru 1. Garcia M. (G) 12. Granero B. 10. Lara J. A. 15. Morgado P. 9. Niang M. 22. Rojo J. 20. Undabarrena E.	27. Csanad G. 21. Feria J. 13. Garcia-Alejo R. (G) 22. Gonzalez C. 11. Guti A. 5. Puerto A. 9. Valino A. 4. Vega A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Jose Enrique ⚽,
22', Pastrana V. 🟨,
33', Riera R. 🟨,
41', Albisua H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Ferni ↓, Rojo J. ↑,
49', Anton J. 🟨,
58', Colau ↓, Guti A. ↑,
61', Albisua H. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
61', Herrera C. ↓, Undabarrena E. ↑,
64', Jose Enrique ↓, Puerto A. ↑,
64', Carbonell P. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
69', Ferriz P. 🟨,
72', Rodriguez A. ↓, Lara J. A. ↑,
83', Calderon M. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Vega A. ⚽,
90', Undabarrena E. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Alcoyano is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Alcoyano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.11.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Alcoyano	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Alcoyano - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Alcoyano - Sevilla B	1:1 ✺
13.11.24	Alcoyano - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Betis B - Alcoyano	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTLL
- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.11.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Algeciras	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Real Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
15.11.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Betis B	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Marbella - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.05.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Alcoyano	1:0
27.08.23	Alcoyano - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:1
30.01.22	Alcoyano - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:0
10.10.21	Atlético Sanluqueño - Alcoyano	2:2

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