Match Info

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)


	Amorebieta		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.7
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.4	2.95	2.8
	2.44	3	2.7
	2.54	3.12	2.86
	2.47	3.1	2.74
	2.5	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (3.16)	3.03 ↑ (2.8)	2.75 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
37%

Draw
30%

Alcoyano
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

32.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

32.3%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amorebieta's performance.

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcoyano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amorebieta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcoyano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Amorebieta - Alcoyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Amorebieta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alcoyano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.10.22	Castellón - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Amorebieta - Athletic Bilbao B	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Real Unión de Irun - Amorebieta	4:3 ✺
02.10.22	Amorebieta - Numancia	1:2 ✺
25.09.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLLL
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.10.22	Alcoyano - UD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Alcoyano - Castellón	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Cornellà - Alcoyano	2:0 ✺
02.10.22	Alcoyano - Atlético Baleares	2:1 ✺
25.09.22	Real Unión de Irun - Alcoyano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWW

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