Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Alcoyano		Marbella

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.4
	2.05	2.85	3.4
	2.13	3.05	3.55
	2.19	2.96	3.7
	2.13	2.92	3.61	Watch
	2.12	3	3.6
	2.13	3.05	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.13)	2.96 ↓ (3.05)	3.54 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
43.2%

Draw
30.9%

Marbella
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Alcoyano - Marbella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia M. (G) 6. Garcia I. 18. Atienza P. 12. Granero B. 4. Farru 20. Undabarrena E. 8. Molina D. 14. Anton J. 11. Ferni 10. Lara J. A. 19. Losada M.	13. Martin D. (G) 2. Alvarez J. 5. Acosta L. 4. Carrasco J. (C) 15. Diori Y. 10. Punal A. 24. Edwards R. 8. Alamo J. 23. Pena M. 21. Munoz P. 7. Callejon J.
Substitutes
5. Albisua H. 2. Ferriz P. 7. Herrera C. 17. Lopez S. 15. Morgado P. 9. Niang M. 3. Rodriguez A. 22. Rojo J. 13. Valens J. (G)	17. Alayeto I. 6. Duarte J. 9. Du Yuezheng 3. Fornes G. 16. Hanza D. 1. Lejarraga A. (G) 19. Ohemeng E. 14. Olguin M. 25. Solsky D. (G) 11. Soto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Acosta L. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Alvarez J. (Own goal),
62', Alvarez J. ↓, Ohemeng E. ↑,
65', Molina D. ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
65', Ferni ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
67', Edwards R. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
67', Punal A. ↓, Fornes G. ↑,
70', Garcia I. 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, Herrera C. ⚽,
73', Garcia I. ↓, Albisua H. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Munoz P. ⚽,
80', Acosta L. ↓, Alayeto I. ↑,
80', Pena M. ↓, Hanza D. ↑,
84', Losada M. ↓, Rojo J. ↑,
84', Lara J. A. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
88', Anton J. 🟨,
90+3', Lopez S. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Alcoyano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marbella is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Marbella have a series of home games.

Alcoyano will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.09.24	Ibiza - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Alcoyano - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Intercity - Alcoyano	0:2 ✺
08.09.24	Alcoyano - Real Murcia	0:3 ✺
31.08.24	Recreativo Huelva - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWWLT
- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.09.24	Marbella - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Marbella - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Algeciras - Marbella	1:3 ✺
08.09.24	Marbella - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Marbella - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWLW

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