Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ibiza		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.9
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.95	3.1	4
	1.92	3.14	4.13
	1.88	3.16	4.15	Watch
	1.9	3.2	4.13
	1.95	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.63)	3.15 ↓ (3.49)	4.02 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
48.2%

Draw
29.1%

Alcoyano
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26.1%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25.4%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ibiza's form might have worsened.

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcoyano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ibiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcoyano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ibiza - Alcoyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 17. Medina U. (C) 3. Molina G. 4. Monjonell E. 5. Jimenez J. 21. Eugeni 6. Alvarez J. 18. Molina A. 14. Domenech M. 19. Naranjo J. 10. Gallar A.	1. Garcia M. (G) 17. Lopez S. 12. Granero B. 18. Atienza P. 14. Anton J. 6. Garcia I. 5. Albisua H. 4. Farru 23. Pastrana V. 19. Losada M. 11. Ferni
Substitutes
11. Astals D. 13. Belman (G) 25. Chekotun A. (G) 23. Escassi A. 9. Ferrer P. 20. Indias I. 15. Kourouma L. 16. Olabe R. 8. Tienza F. 22. Zarzana A.	21. Cellou M. 2. Ferriz P. 7. Herrera C. 10. Lara J. A. 8. Molina D. 15. Morgado P. 9. Niang M. 3. Rodriguez A. 22. Rojo J. 20. Undabarrena E. 13. Valens J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Granero B. 🟨,
20', Anton J. 🟨,
26', Alvarez J. ↓, Olabe R. ↑,
36', 1 - 0, Gallar A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Anton J. ↓, Molina D. ↑,
56', Albisua H. ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
56', Farru ↓, Rojo J. ↑,
63', Losada M. 🟨,
63', Domenech M. ↓, Kourouma L. ↑,
63', Naranjo J. ↓, Ferrer P. ↑,
67', Garcia I. 🟨,
70', Herrera C. 🟨,
75', Pastrana V. ↓, Lara J. A. ↑,
86', Molina A. ↓, Astals D. ↑,
86', Gallar A. ↓, Zarzana A. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+2', Kourouma L. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Alcoyano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ibiza is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ibiza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.09.24	Mérida AD - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Ibiza - Hércules	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Ibiza - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWWT
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.09.24	Alcoyano - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Intercity - Alcoyano	0:2 ✺
08.09.24	Alcoyano - Real Murcia	0:3 ✺
31.08.24	Recreativo Huelva - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Alcoyano - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.01.24	Ibiza - Alcoyano	3:0
10.09.23	Alcoyano - Ibiza	0:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
31.01.21	Ibiza - Alcoyano	0:1
18.11.20	Alcoyano - Ibiza	1:2

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