Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday


	Alcoyano		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.55	3.4
	2.15	2.9	3.5
	2.41	2.55	3.3
	2.53	2.65	3.69
	2.38	2.6	3.5
	2.48	2.54	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.01)	2.63 ↓ (2.75)	3.5 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
38.7%

Draw
35%

Peña Deportiva
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

32.9%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

24.7%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcoyano's form might have worsened.

Peña Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+21.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcoyano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peña Deportiva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alcoyano - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 3 (Promotion Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 3 (Second stage)).

Recent matches Alcoyano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Peña Deportiva is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcoyano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcoyano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.02.21	Alcoyano - La Nucía	3:2 ✺
14.02.21	Levante B - Alcoyano	3:1 ✺
07.02.21	Alcoyano - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
31.01.21	Ibiza - Alcoyano	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.01.21	Alcoyano - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLWL
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.02.21	Peña Deportiva - Orihuela	1:1 ✺
14.02.21	La Nucía - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
07.02.21	Peña Deportiva - Hércules	2:1 ✺
31.01.21	Levante B - Peña Deportiva	0:0 ✺
24.01.21	Peña Deportiva - Valencia B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.12.20	Peña Deportiva - Alcoyano	0:1
21.04.18	Alcoyano - Peña Deportiva	3:0
26.11.17	Peña Deportiva - Alcoyano	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.09.14	Alcoyano - Peña Deportiva	2:1 penalties

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