Match Info

Date: 28 January 2021, Thursday


	Alcoyano		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.8	1.53	Watch
	6.25	3.75	1.55	Watch
	6.75	3.9	1.55
	6.2	3.7	1.54
	6.7	3.85	1.56
	7	3.7	1.55
	6.65	3.94	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.58 ↑ (5.1)	3.81 ↑ (3.66)	1.55 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
14.3%

Draw
24.8%

Athletic Bilbao
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

25.7%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

14.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Bilbao's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcoyano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-29.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Bilbao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.8%	6.3%	82.9%

Alcoyano - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: Athletic Bilbao will win (92 of 111 users predict this - 82.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.87% – 89.89%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Alcoyano in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Athletic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Athletic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Athletic is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcoyano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
24.01.21	Alcoyano - Orihuela	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
20.01.21	Alcoyano - Real Madrid	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.01.21	Hércules - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
10.01.21	Valencia B - Alcoyano	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.21	Alcoyano - Huesca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 49.6 WWTWW
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
25.01.21	Athletic Bilbao - Getafe	5:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.01.21	Ibiza - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Spanish Supercopa
17.01.21	Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao	2:3 ET ✺
14.01.21	Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
06.01.21	Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
18.12.14	Athletic Bilbao - Alcoyano	1:0
02.12.14	Alcoyano - Athletic Bilbao	1:1

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