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Current Win Probability
Aldershot Town 31.3%
Draw 26.6%
Hartlepool United 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
25%
47.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.5%
24.1%
49.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hartlepool United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartlepool United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aldershot Town - Hartlepool United Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Aldershot (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aldershot (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hayes N. (G) 2. Efete M. 5. Oshilaja K. (C) 12. Stickland M. 18. Adom-Malaki N. 4. Borgnis J. 6. Odusanya D. 8. Gilbert J. 10. Tuma B. 9. Dinanga M. 11. Sandah H.
1. Merrick M. (G) 2. Benn J. 6. McNally R. 5. Kouogun M. 3. John C. 17. Nolan J. 8. Miley J. 4. Hunter J. (C) 7. Ilunga B. 19. Popov C. 10. Harris W.
Substitutes
7. Abrahams T. 17. Dyce T. 15. Frimpong K. 23. Lawless C. 16. Matton J. 24. Oladunjoye E. 20. Wyllie M.
30. Bondo T. 12. Eccleston N. 32. Fisher N. (G) 9. Hugill J. 28. McKeown C. 15. Penman C. 14. Sheron N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Gilbert J. ↓, Frimpong K. ↑,
40', Frimpong K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Benn J. ↓, Eccleston N. ↑,
59', Popov C. ↓, McKeown C. ↑,
59', Nolan J. ↓, Sheron N. ↑,
67', Borgnis J. ↓, Lawless C. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, McKeown C. ⚽, Ilunga B. (A),
73', Efete M. ↓, Oladunjoye E. ↑,
73', Frimpong K. ↓, Wyllie M. ↑,
73', Sandah H. ↓, Dyce T. ↑,
80', McNally R. 🟨,
83', Harris W. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
83', Ilunga B. ↓, Bondo T. ↑,
90', Dinanga M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 3.
Aldershot is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Hartlepool has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Aldershot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Hartlepool has had a series of home games.
Hartlepool might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Aldershot won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).
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Hayes N. (G) 
Efete M. 
Tuma B. 
Kouogun M. 
Popov C. 
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