Match Info

Date: 26 October 2021, Tuesday


	Aldershot Town		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	4.2
	1.8	3.8	3.7
	1.75	3.7	3.95
	1.78	3.65	3.95
	1.79	3.94	4.25
	1.9	3.3	3.6
	1.77	3.84	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.01)	3.71 ↑ (3.52)	3.99 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
51.9%

Draw
24.9%

Weymouth
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

20.4%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aldershot Town's performance.

Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aldershot Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Aldershot Town - Weymouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 19).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Aldershot could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aldershot will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldershot won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
23.10.21	Aldershot Town - Bromley	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
16.10.21	Bowers & Pitsea - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
English National League
09.10.21	Stockport County - Aldershot Town	1:0 ✺
05.10.21	Dover Athletic - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
25.09.21	Aldershot Town - Halifax Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- Weymouth
English National League
23.10.21	Weymouth - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
19.10.21	Weymouth - Yeovil Town	1:2 penalties ✺
16.10.21	Yeovil Town - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
English National League
09.10.21	Halifax Town - Weymouth	2:0 ✺
05.10.21	Bromley - Weymouth	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
13.04.21	Weymouth - Aldershot Town	0:3
26.01.21	Aldershot Town - Weymouth	0:2

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