Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 13 December 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	Stockport County		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	9	Watch
	1.34	5.5	7.75
	1.33	5.5	8.5	Watch
	1.34	5.49	8.09
	1.34	5.49	8.09
	1.29	5	7.5	Watch
	1.34	5.3	7.9	Watch
	1.34	5.4	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.45)	5.34 ↑ (4.61)	8.05 ↑ (6.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockport County
70.7%

Draw
17.6%

Aldershot Town
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

20.5%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

21.2%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stockport County's performance.

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Stockport County - Aldershot Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Aldershot will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 7. Southam M. 6. Horsfall F. 15. Pye E. 3. Touray I. 8. Camps C. 18. Croasdale R. 27. Bailey O. 9. Madden P. (C) 25. Olaofe I. 19. Wootton K.	1. van Stappershoef J. (G) 5. Rowe C. 4. Harries C. (C) 3. Harfield O. 2. Mnoga H. 27. Willard T. 8. Frost T. 11. Glover R. 9. Tolaj L. 10. Stokes J. 22. Barham J.
Substitutes
5. Byrne N. 22. Cotterill J. 30. Johnson C. 2. Knoyle K. 28. Mee A. 23. Pond A. 26. Richardson J. 12. Smith J. (G) 4. Wright A.	14. Bray O. 23. Ghandour H. 20. Haigh J. 24. Mullins M. 7. O'Keefe S. 18. Scott O. 39. Thomas K. 31. Turner O. 38. Westen F. (G)
Coaches
Challinor D.	Widdrington T.

Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 2-2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stockport won 3.

Stockport is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aldershot is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stockport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Stockport have a series of guest games.

In this match Stockport is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Stockport won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Stockport won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockport County
English League Two
09.12.23	Morecambe - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.12.23	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.12.23	Aldershot Town - Stockport County	2:2 ✺
English League Two
28.11.23	Stockport County - Salford City	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Newport County - Stockport County	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLTTL
- Aldershot Town
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	2:3 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
03.12.23	Aldershot Town - Stockport County	2:2 ✺
English National League
25.11.23	Aldershot Town - Halifax Town	1:0 ✺
21.11.23	Bromley - Aldershot Town	2:3 ✺
18.11.23	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
03.12.23	Aldershot Town - Stockport County	2:2
English National League
05.03.22	Aldershot Town - Stockport County	0:2
09.10.21	Stockport County - Aldershot Town	1:0
02.04.21	Aldershot Town - Stockport County	1:2
13.02.21	Stockport County - Aldershot Town	0:0
21.12.19	Aldershot Town - Stockport County	2:1
14.09.19	Stockport County - Aldershot Town	1:2

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