Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Huish Park (Yeovil)


	Yeovil Town		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.1	5
	1.51	4.2	5.6
	1.51	4.34	5.34
	1.53	4.27	5.59	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.48	4.25	5.84
	1.51	4.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.33)	4.19 ↓ (4.8)	5.5 ↓ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeovil Town
61.3%

Draw
22%

Weymouth
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

19.3%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

16.6%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yeovil Town's form might have worsened.

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Weymouth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Yeovil Town - Weymouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Goodship B. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Jarvis A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, Goodship B. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yeovil won 2.

Recent matches Yeovil is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Weymouth is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Yeovil is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Yeovil won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:5 (average 1.6:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Yeovil won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeovil Town
English National League
30.11.24	Woking - Yeovil Town	0:2 ✺
27.11.24	Yeovil Town - Barnet	1:2 ✺
23.11.24	York City - Yeovil Town	4:0 ✺
16.11.24	Yeovil Town - Halifax Town	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Southend United - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLLW
- Weymouth
English National League South
30.11.24	Weymouth - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
26.11.24	Weymouth - Truro City	1:4 ✺
23.11.24	Hornchurch - Weymouth	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Weston-super-Mare - Weymouth	2:3 ✺
English National League South
09.11.24	Weymouth - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.04.24	Weymouth - Yeovil Town	Weymouth awarded
24.10.23	Yeovil Town - Weymouth	2:0
English National League
18.04.22	Weymouth - Yeovil Town	0:0
01.02.22	Yeovil Town - Weymouth	1:1
English FA Cup
19.10.21	Weymouth - Yeovil Town	1:2 penalties
16.10.21	Yeovil Town - Weymouth	1:1
English National League
23.02.21	Yeovil Town - Weymouth	3:1

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