Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 25

Date: 7 August 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Ceballos D. (Arg)


	Aldosivi		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.2
	2.37	2.95	2.9
	2.4	2.9	3.2
	2.53	2.95	3.22
	2.4	2.8	3.1
	2.48	2.96	3.16
	2.41	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.19)	2.94 ↓ (3)	3.11 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
38.3%

Draw
31.7%

Estudiantes de Caseros
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

30.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.8%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aldosivi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	46.7%	20%

Aldosivi - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 4. Lucero R. 2. Iniguez E. 6. Laquidain S. 3. Escobar I. 7. Morello M. 5. Bravo F. 10. Olivares J. (C) 8. Britez E. 11. Curuchet F. 9. Cervera T.	1. Vega M. (G) 4. Minervino D. 6. Zarate N. 3. Fernandez N. 2. Bottino G. (C) 7. Parisi L. J. 5. Lugo M. 8. Brinone S. 10. Acosta E. 9. Bolzicco T. 11. Blanco T.
Substitutes
12. Bruera L. (G) 14. Callegari S. 15. Gonzalez A. 18. Guerra Brian 16. Indacoechea J. 19. Panaro M. 13. Paredes G. 17. Pereyra F. 20. Torres E.	12. Amade L. (G) 20. Fagundez F. 15. Ferreyra M. 16. Gaitan T. 18. Gimenez G. 14. Lopez D. 13. Lorenzon F. 17. Nunez L. 19. Vera I.
Coaches
Coyette W.	Otta W.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 12).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Aldosivi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.07.23	Chacarita Juniors - Aldosivi	2:0 ✺
24.07.23	Aldosivi - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
17.07.23	Mitre - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
09.07.23	Aldosivi - Quilmes	1:2 ✺
02.07.23	Chaco For Ever - Aldosivi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWLL
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.07.23	Brown de Adrogué - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
15.07.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:2 ✺
09.07.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2 ✺
03.07.23	Deportivo Riestra - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.04.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Aldosivi	0:1

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