Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 21

Date: 9 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Trucco S. (Arg)


	Aldosivi		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	3.2
	2.3	2.95	3
	2.25	2.9	3.4
	2.52	2.9	3.31
	2.4	2.88	3
	2.45	2.94	3.24	Watch
	2.4	2.9	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.24)	2.94 ↓ (3.09)	3.19 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
39%

Draw
31.7%

Quilmes
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

30.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	62.5%	0%

Aldosivi - Quilmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 5. Bravo F. 7. Cervera T. 11. Curuchet F. 3. Escobar I. 2. Iniguez E. 6. Laquidain S. 4. Lucero R. 8. Morello M. 10. Olivares J. 9. Riano C.	1. Alvarez M. (G) 18. Batista A. 19. Castro F. 10. Colman I. 2. Diaz G. 3. Erquiaga I. 4. Garcia M. 6. Giampaoli R. 8. Ramirez I. 5. Rio M. 7. Sanabria M.
Coaches
Quiroz F.	Sciacqua M.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Aldosivi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Quilmes is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Quilmes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aldosivi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldosivi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.07.23	Chaco For Ever - Aldosivi	3:0 ✺
25.06.23	Aldosivi - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:1 ✺
17.06.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
14.06.23	Aldosivi - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.06.23	Aldosivi - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLLL
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.06.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Quilmes	0:1 ✺
24.06.23	Quilmes - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
19.06.23	Deportivo Riestra - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
05.06.23	Racing de Córdoba - Quilmes	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Quilmes - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.03.23	Quilmes - Aldosivi	4:1
19.03.18	Aldosivi - Quilmes	1:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.11.16	Quilmes - Aldosivi	1:0
07.03.15	Aldosivi - Quilmes	1:1

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