Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 20

Date: 3 July 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Cordoba C. (Arg)


	Deportivo Riestra		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	4
	2.05	3	3.6
	2	2.9	3.75
	2.1	3.01	4.23
	2	2.9	3.9
	2.04	3.15	4
	2.05	3.1	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2.02)	3.02 ↓ (3.33)	3.88 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
45.4%

Draw
30.7%

Estudiantes de Caseros
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.2%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

26.7%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	31.8%	18.2%

Deportivo Riestra - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 11 - 50%). CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Riestra: 29.1% – 70.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arce I. (G) 3. Tovo E. 4. Iribarren N. 5. Dematei N. 2. Goitia J. 7. Antonini F. 6. Villoldo T. 9. Acuna W. 8. Celiz M. (C) 10. Romero L. 11. Fernandez G.	1. Vega M. (G) 4. Minervino D. 2. Bottino G. 6. Felissia L. 3. Fernandez N. 7. Parisi L. J. 5. Lugo M. 8. Mayorga S. (C) 10. Acosta E. 9. Bolzicco T. 11. Garnerone M.
Substitutes
12. Aguero F. (G) 13. Benitez G. 14. Benitez J. 18. Bravo G. 20. Gonzalez Herrero R. 16. Goya J. 19. Portillo S. 17. Torres F. 15. Zaninovic M.	12. Amade L. (G) 20. Blanco T. 16. Brinone S. 19. Fagundez F. 18. Gimenez G. 17. Gonzalez J. 14. Lopez D. 13. Lorenzon F. 15. Zarate N.
Coaches
Marchesi W.	Otta W.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Riestra won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Deportivo Riestra will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Deportivo Riestra won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Riestra won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.06.23	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
19.06.23	Deportivo Riestra - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
07.06.23	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.06.23	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
29.05.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Riestra	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTLWT
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.06.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
19.06.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Estudiantes de Caseros	3:2 ✺
03.06.23	Tristán Suárez - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
28.05.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chacarita Juniors	2:1 ✺
21.05.23	Mitre - Estudiantes de Caseros	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.02.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Riestra	1:0
20.02.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Riestra	0:0
16.08.21	Deportivo Riestra - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0
03.04.21	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Riestra	2:1
Argentinian Primera B
19.03.19	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Riestra	1:2
30.10.18	Deportivo Riestra - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:2
19.05.17	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Riestra	1:1

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